Good morning, Of all the reasons to have kids, I’ve never heard anyone saying they did it for their country. Ten years ago, a series of campaigns in Denmark tried to tackle the country’s plummeting fertility rate by suggesting exactly that. Imagine waiting at a bus stop and seeing an ad reminding you of your "patriotic duty" to produce new Danes and "Knald for Danmark" ("Bang for Denmark"), or to have your eggs counted? Then, when you turn on the tv later, an advert is encouraging your parents to send you and your partner on a sexy, sun soaked holiday to boost the chances of grandkids. Weird. Unsurprisingly, women were fuming. Fast forward to today, and Europe’s governments are still panicking over low birth rates. The Baltics, in particular, are seeing their populations drop fast, as their low fertility rates are paired with high emigration. Our Estonian correspondent dives into the issue and looks at what countries are getting wrong with their family planning. Also in this edition: If you're in need of a little holiday inspiration, maybe you’d like a trip to the north of Sweden to try their exquisite local snack: Coffee cheese. Yes, you heard that right. Editor's noteAmalie Holmgaard Mersh
Estonia ・ Plummeting populations Shrinking Baltics, growing concern Emily Mirelle Vutt From Moldova to Japan, many countries worldwide are grappling with shrinking populations. Low birth rates are a common reason, and for some, like the Baltics, the trend is also fuelled by high living costs and continued emigration. The fallout is familiar: fewer workers, slower economic growth, and more strained welfare systems. In Estonia, the warning signs are already visible. Between 2022 and 2024, 7,500 fewer children were born than projected, saving €100 million on sectors like education in the short term – but risking a €1.3 billion tax revenue loss in the long run. With a rapidly ageing population, more spending will eventually be needed in long-term care and healthcare. The Baltic states have tried to respond. Estonia has introduced parental benefits and digital services for young families. Latvia is expanding childcare access. Lithuania offers housing support and birth bonuses. Still, economic insecurity, rising housing costs, precarious labour conditions, and broader uncertainty about the future make it difficult for many to commit to having children. Meanwhile, countries like Germany and Denmark have kept population numbers from dropping – not by turning low birth rates around, but by combining family policy with strategic immigration: the targeted recruitment and integration of skilled workers, students, or refugees to fill labour gaps and support the tax base. The Baltics have made attempts to curb emigration, but without luck. Efforts to improve wages and social services have failed, fuelling a brain drain as many young, educated Baltic citizens find better opportunities abroad with no plans to return. Otherwise, migration has long been a politically sensitive topic, due to legacies of Soviet-era population shifts, and concerns about cultural identity and language preservation. At the same time, comparatively low wages have made both policymakers and the public cautious about trying to attract newcomers. Until now, no one has managed to push the low birthrates back up over the magic 2.1 children per woman – the so-called replacement rate. People cite financial uncertainty, the climate crisis, and shifting social norms as reasons for not having children. So what’s missing?According to Mare Ainsaar, associate professor at the University of Tartu, Estonia needs better job security, more affordable housing, and stable family benefits rather than policies that keep shifting. However, there’s more to it. Pieter Vanhuysse, professor at the University of Southern Denmark and co-author of a study of parents in 12 European countries, has found that parents contribute 2.5 times more resources to society than non-parents. The deciding factor is the time and money parents invest in the next generation of citizens. It takes a lot of effort to raise productive, mentally healthy, and economically and socially responsible humans, Vanhuysse says. The problem? Those efforts are neither visible in statistics, nor are they properly valued by societies, even the ones with strong welfare systems. What the data clearly show is the "motherhood penalty": the financial setback women take for having children, including lower wages and pensions. It’s thought to be a big contributor to the gender pay gap, which remains a big issue in Europe. Another suggestion is that policymakers overlook a key factor in times of uncertainty: the need for meaning. Without it, Christine Emba writes in The Atlantic, "the perceived challenges of having children outweigh any subsidy the government might offer."
And the parent of the year award goes to...Imagine you're a centre-right minister in office, and learn from the media that your son is active in violent far-right extremist groups. Embarrassing, to say the least, right? That's exactly what just happened to Johan Forssell, the Swedish migration minister, who has otherwise been keen to lecture parents about their responsibility in preventing kids’ criminal activities. Here’s a quick recap: Two weeks ago, the investigative magazine Expo revealed that his teenage son had been involved in violent neo-Nazi networks, including the Nordic Resistance Movement, which is classified as a terrorist group by the US. While the boy is not suspected of any crime, he is said, among other things, to have tried to recruit members to the white supremacist organisation Det fria Sverige (Free Sweden) and was spotted on social media posts putting up racist stickers in his neighbourhood. By following his activity on social media, Expo found six different accounts linked to him that were used to post, share, and like far-right material. Forssell has since claimed to be "shocked and horrified" by the discovery, because he didn't know about his son's activities. This cluelessness has sparked a debate, as his previous lectures on parental responsibility have included promoting harsher punishments for minors and suggesting that parents should be held legally accountable for the crimes of their children. However, his party colleagues – in a government supported by the far-right Sweden Democrats, which has roots in neo-Nazi movements – have been downplaying the scandal or simply refusing to comment on the matter. | Amélie Reichmuth
Forsell’s son's situation reflects broader movements within Swedish society. In its 2024 report published this spring, Expo was already pointing out a worrying trend in Sweden. There are more far-right extremist groups, and they are becoming more radicalised – attracting "a new generation of young men who have lost faith in democracy." Christer Mattsson, director of the Segerstedt Institute at Gothenburg University, recently confirmed this in an interview, noting that "right-wing extremists have been using the internet longer than most other organisations, and have more than 30 years experience in providing online communities [...] where you can interact and receive information but also where you can find ways to get engaged in a real group." |
Where building breaks banks Construction costs in these major European cities are rising as the continent faces shortages in construction labour, raising concerns in economic and urban development spheres. Cities like London and Dublin currently grapple with major housing shortages. In Zurich, thousands demonstrated against the Swiss housing problem at the end of 2024, when tenants’ leases were abruptly terminated at three Zurich flats. The soaring costs of building new infrastructure – including new data centres as demand for AI surges – are also affecting commercial development. This in turn reshapes how governments and investors are approaching urban growth. Despite lower energy costs, labour shortages are a glaring problem in nearly all the countries these cities are located in, along with rising material costs, supply chain disruptions, and increased interest and inflation. Created by Sara Wiatrak.
Say cheese!It's official! The Swedish speciality "kaffeost" (coffee cheese) has been granted EU protected status. Kaffeost is a fresh cheese made from reindeer, goat, or cow's milk, which is only produced in the northernmost parts of Sweden. It’s traditionally consumed with coffee: you cut the cheese into small pieces and throw them into your coffee cup. Coffee and kaffeost | Credits: Pernilla Ahlsén/imagebank.sweden.se | Amélie Reichmuth
As a cheese lover and coffee addict, I had to try the kaffeost once in my life. A few years ago, my dream came true when I went on a trip to Northern Sweden. Surprisingly, what I enjoyed most wasn't the taste, which was quite buttery, but the playfulness of fishing out the small pieces of cheese one by one. If you ever go north, give it a try! |
The withering welfare stateNiina Leppilahti Finland’s famous social welfare model is crumbling. Since taking office in 2023, the right-wing government has imposed strict cuts on social security spending – to the point where an image of our far-right finance minister mockingly holding up a pair of scissors to symbolise the budget cuts has come to represent the current Finnish government. The government is making these cuts mostly to fulfil its election promise to decrease national debt, arguing that the previous government’s spending was "irresponsible", and that Finland simply cannot afford to sustain its welfare state. However, over the past two years Finland’s debt has increased, partially because of the government’s tax cuts. To tackle this, the government has borrowed money from its public pension fund; an unsustainable move that only temporarily makes it look like debt did not increase. The austere reality is showing: a recent report by Amnesty International showed that for the first time in over a decade, homelessness is on the rise in Finland. Finland’s "Housing First" model decreased homelessness by 80% between 1980 and 2023 by providing homeless people with unconditional housing instead of temporary shelters. While the country was on track to eradicate homelessness completely, the current government's social security cuts now threaten that progress. The cuts are also likely to increase inequality in other areas, like health. Another recent study found Finland ranks among Europe’s worst for the financial burden on cancer patients. One in five Finnish cancer patients reported occasionally skipping treatment because of costs. Finnish cancer patients also reported the second-highest income loss after diagnosis: 63% of patients reported that their income decreased, and 16% said their income fell by more than €1200 a month. According to Marika Skyttä, director of health at the Finnish Cancer Society, the welfare cuts have made it even more difficult for already vulnerable people to cover out-of-pocket expenses for treatments as well as indirect costs like travel costs.
The end of unarmed policingNorwegian police have a long tradition of being unarmed on ordinary duty, just one of four European countries that practice this. Since 1 July, those days are over. Following the country’s security services’ evaluations, which raised concerns over terrorism and general crime, the police themselves argued for easier access to firearms. While a large majority of officers once opposed carrying guns on duty, with only around 20% supporting it in 2011, that number flipped to around 80% in 2017. This change in police opinion helped push major political parties, many of which had long been against routine armament, to change their stance. The shift hasn’t happened overnight. For over a decade, Norwegian police have been granted temporary access to firearms during special threat situations. These "temporary armament" periods gradually normalised the armed policing and lowered both the political and public threshold for accepting weapons during ordinary patrols. | Kristin Dilani Nadarajah
This marks a big cultural shift in a country with high trust in the police, where wrongful usage can breach said trust. Just a few days after the law changed, a man was shot by police, though non-lethally. It raised questions about whether other weapons could have been used. And the worry is whether constant access to firearms will lead to more frequent use of them. Judging by the temporary armament a few years ago, increased access to weapons in police missions did lead to increased use of weapons, according to the Norwegian Police Directorate. |
Every day, our correspondents recommend one song to you. Today, Niina Leppilahti chose this one. We hope you enjoy! Vasten auringon siltaa Katri Helena In the 70s, a lot of international songs were translated into Finnish, which regularly leads me to be confused when I find out a song I grew up thinking was Finnish isn't the original. Then again, it doesn't really matter, because no one sings it better than Katri Helena.
Listen on YoutubeListen on Spotify 〉Recommend a song for our next edition
This is not only the last Northern Europe newsletter, but our last regional newsletter. From August we’ll be back in a different format – stay tuned and enjoy the summer! All the best, Amalie Holmgaard Mersh Leading Editor for Northern Europe PS: Can you tell us what you think of today's edition of the newsletter? Every day, as a small reward for your feedback, we will show you a cute animal picture.
This newsletter was edited by Dylan Goodman, the visuals were created by Philippe Kramer, and the executive producer was Belle de Jong.
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